Showing posts with label ESPN. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ESPN. Show all posts

Thursday, December 20, 2012

Oilcan J's Bowl Predictions 2012-2013

As a mild-mannered undergraduate, I began a tradition of making bowl season picks on games I knew absolutely nothing about. Which, I contend, is a practice engaged in every year by sports pundits who do the same. So enjoy another installment of an irregular tradition your family is sure not to care about around the table this holiday season.


Like Aunt Mildred's prune casserole, the bowl predictions return for an irregular holiday season. I'll confess to watching roughly three hours of uninebriated college football this season, which means I saw 2 hours and 58 minutes more of the sport in a cogent state of mind than Lou Holtz. I also missed the prestigious Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. My apologies to all tubors involved.

For now, sit back, knock back some egg nog and enjoy another unqualified clod telling you what to think about sports. Because I know you don't have nearly enough of that in your life.

Picks (winners in bold)
S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia
 BYU vs. San Diego State 

Beef 'O' Brady's St. Petersburg
Ball State vs. UCF

R+L Carriers New Orleans
East Carolina vs. Louisiana-Lafayette

MAACO Las Vegas
Washington vs. Boise State

Sheraton Hawaii
 Fresno State vs. SMU

Little Caesars Pizza
Western Kentucky vs. Central Michigan

Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman
San Jose State vs. Bowling Green

Belk
Cincinnati vs. Duke 

Bridgepoint Education Holiday
Baylor vs. UCLA

AdvoCare V100 Independence
Ohio vs. Louisiana-Monroe

Russell Athletic
Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech

Meineke Car Care of Texas
 Minnesota vs. Texas Tech

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
 Rice vs. Air Force

New Era Pinstripe
West Virginia vs. Syracuse 

Kraft Fight Hunger
 Navy vs. Arizona State

Valero Alamo
 Texas vs. Oregon State

Buffalo Wild Wings
 TCU vs. Michigan State

Franklin American Mortgage Music City
 NC State vs. Vanderbilt

Hyundai Sun
USC vs. Georgia Tech

AutoZone Liberty
 Iowa State vs. Tulsa

Chick-fil-A
LSU vs. Clemson

TaxSlayer.com Gator
Mississippi State vs. Northwestern

Heart of Dallas
 Purdue vs. Oklahoma State

Outback
 South Carolina vs. Michigan

Capital One
Georgia vs. Nebraska

Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio
Wisconsin vs. Stanford

Discover Orange
 Northern Illinois vs. Florida State

Allstate Sugar
 Louisville vs. Florida

Tostitos Fiesta
Oregon vs. Kansas State

AT&T Cotton
Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma

BBVA Compass
Pittsburgh vs. Ole Miss 

GoDaddy.com
Kent State vs. Arkansas State

Discover BCS National Championship
Notre Dame vs. Alabama 

Saturday, July 23, 2011

Why Roger Clemens Mistrial is Good for the American Sports Fan

As a preface to this argument, I'd like to mention I've spent the past week at the Institute for Humane Studies' summer seminar on Liberty & Society. While there, I learned a great deal of economic and political theory that has been burrowing its way into my brain and worldview over the past several days. This essay is an attempt to synthesize some of those concepts with a familiar topic. Feel free to punch holes anywhere you see fit.

Boy, the justice system just can't catch a break this month, can it? First, we let a clearly-guilty murderer off the hook for the death of her infant daughter, and just a few weeks later federal prosecutors gloriously blunder the perjury case of Roger Clemens. We're talking Mike McDermott after 48 hours on a poker run-levels of incompetency. Howard Bryant, of ESPN.com, reports an attorney familiar with the workings of the federal court and judge who presided over the case called the mistake of producing disallowed evidence "a colossal" and "total screw-up." Like Barry Bonds, Clemens' numbers post-40 defy description. A record of 61-33, ERA totals routinely hovering around 3.00 (including a mind-numbing 1.87 in 2005 with Houston), and a K/BB ratio (around 3.00 as well) that makes Luke Hochevar (1.50 this year) look like a straight-out-of-penal-league Rich Vaughn. If anybody could be proved to be juicing, it had to be Clemens, right?

So thought the government. The Congressional hearing on steroids in baseball in 2005 was ostensibly conducted (as Rep. Henry Waxman suggested) to address the public health concern of America's children using steroids. By publicizing the proceedings and subpoenaing the biggest names in the sport, the committee and the media instead sensationalized the issue to construct a kind of kangaroo court against baseball, with several big-name players being brought before the committee and ducking questions by invoking their Constitutional rights (or, in the case of Rafael Palmeiro, offering themselves as sacrifices to the Ironic gods). George Mitchell's 2007 report to Congress was requested by baseball commissioner Bud Selig after the release of Game of Shadows, an investigative look at steroid use in baseball in the late 90s and early 2000s, was published in 2006 by Lance Williams and Mark Fainaru-Wada. In effect, Selig "passed the buck" on his obligation to keep baseball clean to the federal government, allowing political agents to use the platform to further their interests (and attain fame) and spend taxpayer dollars in the defense of what became a kind of public good in the aftermath of the scandal.

The government's involvement, as requested by Selig, was based on several assumptions. The first is the aforementioned link between steroid use by professionals and among the nation's children. The reasoning, of course, was that America's youth baseball players would need to begin using human growth hormone to keep up with their peers early on. This approach assumes a public smear campaign of baseball's venerated stars would be more effective in limiting steroid use than policies of individual athletic associations and schools. The government, in this instance, becomes the whistle-blower. I do not argue that perhaps a whistle-blower was necessary in the issue of drug use among the nation's young athletes. What I am arguing is that perhaps the federal government was not the most effective agent in doing so. Certainly, this appears to be the case in the bungling of the federal perjury cases against Bonds and Clemens, which have resulted in merely one minor conviction against Bonds despite the exorbitant amounts of taxpayer money spent in trying the cases.

Second, the government's involvement as a protectionist agency indicates that the American people wanted baseball to be clean. Such an argument is based on the moral presumption that our athletes and athletic contests should somehow uphold the values we would like to see reflected in society: honesty, integrity and fairness. In actuality, sports are a product served to a consumer base that generally acts with little (if any) of these ideals in mind. Tavi Sojo's Bleacher Report study "The Effects of the Steroid Era on the 2008 Baseball Season" comes to the conclusion that the fans simply didn't care about truth and fairness, as long as balls were flying out of the park. In 2003, the BALCO controversy broke and so began the now 8-year period of steroid skepticism that lingers in almost all media coverage of baseball (just ask Jose Bautista). Yet, fan attendance from 2004-2007 continued a climb to unprecedented levels. However, policies instituted by the findings of the Mitchell Report drove home runs down and pitching and defensive statistical categories up in 2008, according to Sojo's numbers research. As a result of these developments, average attendance dropped for the first time in five years. That trend has continued through 2010, though of course it's important to remember that the recent economic downturn has probably also impacted attendance figures. Having said that, it doesn't appear as though "making the game clean" has had any significant impact on the number of people coming out to the park each night, and potentially drove away fans looking to see the long ball more often.

This, of course, gets at the heart of the third and most important assumption from an economics standpoint that led to government intervention in rules-making in Major League Baseball: that fans simply do not act rationally, and that in their love of offense they were driving players to harm themselves through the use of banned substances. The government, in this scenario, had to step in to protect the players from themselves and the voracious demands of power from growing numbers of baseball enthusiasts. I will refer to this presumption as "The WWE Effect." Quite simply, the fear follows the line that, if players continued to respond to the desires of fans who want to see 600-foot home runs, they were going to wind up looking like Triple H or Mr. Perfect instead of, say, this. In effect, government intervention becomes a safeguard against an arms race or, say, housing bubble in which the human cost would be seen in debilitating physical handicaps for players later in life who used PEDs during their playing days. Government, it could be argued, would speed up the process of demonstrating the dangers of these drugs by dragging the names of the players using through the mud and encouraging fans that they were "harming the game" to save themselves from physical issues later in life.


Warning: "Aviator" reference- "Way of the future..."?

But was the government campaign even necessary? Before charges were even brought against Barry Bonds, his appearance in Game of Shadows led to massive protests against his campaign to break the all-time home run record. When Bonds did eventually break the home run record, it was under a cloud of suspicion that dwarfed the achievement compared to the euphoria that ensued when Hank Aaron topped Ruth's record. Perhaps as many people attended the Bond's home run game as Aaron's, and certainly the amount of money Bonds made in his playing career towers over Aaron's career earnings. But baseball has a traditional element to its marketplace that could have just as easily attained the same (or better) outcomes preventing youth usage of steroids as government involvement. Fans may act irrationally with their money, returning to a sport as a method of release after, say, a protracted strike (or lockout) that resembles, to them, an argument between millionaires and billionaires. But the dependency of sport on the fan encourages minor rule changes, better television deals and increased levels of comfort at modern stadiums. The sports we watch today are better covered, more competitive, and provide higher levels of entertainment than the sports of fifty years ago. The same will be true in another fifty years, as long as government gets out of the way. Perhaps the most recent governmental blunder in the handling of the Roger Clemens' perjury case will make fans realize we don't need the federal government to install order in the games we are passionate about-we can do it ourselves.

Monday, May 30, 2011

THE Ohio State Blackeyes

As news of Jim Tressel's resignation broke this morning, I believe I was somewhere around Paducah, Kentucky fleeing the cicada-infested Middle Tennessee Valley for the friendly confines of Kansas City for the summer. Luckily, I picked up a feed of ESPN Radio and the Colin Cowherd morning program somewhere in between three guys trying to sell me Drano in Spanish and an angry and misguided evangelical pastor explaining the inherent sin present in miniature golf on the AM radio dial in rural Kentucky. Cowherd conducted several thought-provoking interviews this morning (as he is, I'll admit, wont to do) in response to the resignation, and the positions of three men in particular ran the gamut of the subsequent public response I have gleaned from perusing the sports blogosphere.

As expected, Kirk Herbstreit came quickly in defense of both the program and Tressel. Arguing that Tressel's actions (or, rather, inaction) was inspired be a conscious effort on his part to "protect his student-athletes," Herbstreit further went on to say that both the coach and the team would be able to land on their feet, and Ohio State would still have a successful year with a QB who is likely to take a shelling from the local media for driving out an extremely popular head coach and an interim head coach who has zero experience in the position at any level, and certainly not as head coach of one of the premier programs throughout Division I college football. In other words, Herbstreit gave the predictable interview of a hopeless, partisan fan--the same illustration of either a subconscious or poorly hidden favoritism that often bleeds into his work for Gameday throughout the college football season on ESPN. I will grant Herbstreit, however, the honor being the least senile of the two-man broadcasting team of himself and Brent Musberger for Saturday Night Football. But that's a lot like bragging about being more sane than the guy who has shoes made of pennies on the street corner and still believes in the tooth fairy.

Robert Smith (not "Close to Me" or the guy who killed Mecha-Streisand, the former stand-out running back for the Minnesota Vikings in the early 90s and current college football analyst for ESPN) went to the other end of the spectrum, painting Tressel as a lone disingenuously pernicious influence on the sanctity of college football that needed to be dealt with in this manner. To his credit, Smith admitted that the kinds of infractions that allegedly occurred at Ohio State are probably occurring simultaneously at institutions throughout the country. However, Smith argued that Tressel's blatant disregard for protocol showed favoritism to his starters, rather than a genuine attempt to protect all of his student-athletes from the disciplinary hand of the NCAA, and that his lie of omission exceeded by degree numerous other recent and historic violations of NCAA rules.

To his credit, Colin voiced his own opinion as somewhere in between the unquestioning reverence of Herbstreit and the jilted antagonism of Smith, both Ohio State alums. As the old saying goes, this is likely where most of the truth lies. More will inevitably come to light as the investigative piece on Ohio State athletics is published in Sports Illustrated in the coming weeks and the NCAA intensifies its probe into the program (ESPN is already reporting the NCAA will launch a separate investigation into potential individual violations by Terrelle Pryor). As just another in a series of high-profile blackeyes for college football in recent years, however, Tressel's resignation and the subsequent sanctions on the Ohio State program simply illustrate a sign of the times in college athletics, and illustrate (just as South Park so brilliantly did last week) the lack of easy answers in the designation between amateur and professional as determined by the NCAA.

Saturday, May 28, 2011

LeBron and America: The Saga Continues

Though the results of ESPN's recent phone poll don't definitively state that LeBron James has gone from hero to pariah in the sports world, they do indicate what casual fans have noticed all year--there's really no substance behind the Miami Heat. There's no compelling drama in favor of this team, only an intense desire to see them fail. James hasn't helped his own cause very much, prompting Jason Whitlock to summarize the view of several prominent NBA personalities and sportswriters in his exclamation that LeBron "looks, feels, and sounds like a lost cause today."

Of course, this is precisely what David Stern and the NBA want. Following the decisive Game 5 of the Bulls/Heat series on Friday, Nielsen reported the Eastern Conference Finals match-up (aired on TNT) was the most watched playoff series in the history of cable television. In a display of mind-numbingly prolonged obliviousness, James indicated after the Game 5 win that he believes "the hate" will go away after the Heat win their championship and move on.

Moving on in sports requires contrition. Look at the major scandals that have occurred over the past several years in the sporting world. First, steroids in baseball. The contrite, honest Andy Pettite enjoyed a decent and dignified retirement during this past offseason. Meanwhile, I'm pretty sure the blustery and agitated Roger Clemens continues to get the cold shoulder in service at Denny's. Tiger Woods took a long time to come clean about his infidelity, and still hasn't completely owned up in words to the pain he put his wife and children through as a result of his philandering. Currently, he's enjoying a (to put it mildly) tenserelationship with the public and the media and struggling through the lowest point in his athletic career.

I am not suggesting that James' betrayal (and, let's face it, that's really what it was) last summer comes anywhere close to the rule-breaking or moral bankruptcy of these other athletes. But the American public, while it forgives, does not forgive unconditionally. A championship this year might help heal some of the ill-will toward James (and render Jason Segel's familiar joke in the trailer for the upcoming film "Bad Teacher" a little less effective), but it's not going away overnight. This attitude is just another example in a long list of immature behavior from the self-anointed "King."